The secrets of economic indicators : hidden clues to future economic trends and investment opportunities
 Author: Baumohl, Bernard.
 Format: Book
 Published: Upper Saddle River, N.J. : Wharton School Pub., c2008.
 Language: English
 Summary:
"This is the real deal. Baumohl miraculously breathes life into economic indicators and statistics." -- The Wall Street Journal "This is the most up-to-date guide to economic indicators and their importance to financial markets in print. The coverage of less-reported indicators, especially those from nongovernment sources, is hard to find elsewhere. The inclusion of the ... (see more)
Print
delicious
Duke
Ford Library Stacks HB3730 .B38 2008 c.1 Available
Perkins/Bostock Library Stacks HB3730 .B38 2008 Available
 
Authors
Item Description
  • 2nd ed.
  • xxiv, 401 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.
  • ISBN: 0132447290 (pbk. : alk. paper)
  • ISBN: 9780132447294 (pbk. : alk. paper)
  • OCLC Number: 85018288
Notes
  • In memory of Robert P. Gorrell, T '53.
  • Includes bibliographical references and index.
DUKE003913936
Table of Contents
  • About the Author (p. xiii)
  • What's New in the Second Edition? (p. xv)
  • Preface (p. xvii)
  • Acknowledgments (p. xxiii)
  • Chapter 1. The Lock-Up (p. 1)
  • U.S. Economic Indicators (p. 6)
  • International Economic Indicators (p. 14)
  • Chapter 2. A Beginner's Guide: Understanding the Lingo (p. 17)
  • Annual Rates (p. 17)
  • Business Cycle (p. 18)
  • Consensus Surveys (p. 19)
  • Moving Average (p. 20)
  • Nominal Dollars Versus Real Dollars (Also Known as Current Dollars Versus Constant Dollars) (p. 20)
  • Revisions and Benchmarks (p. 21)
  • Seasonal Adjustments (p. 22)
  • Chapter 3. The Most Influential U.S. Economic Indicators (p. 25)
  • Employment
  • Employment Situation (p. 25)
  • Weekly Claims for Unemployment Insurance (p. 40)
  • Help-Wanted Advertising Index (p. 44)
  • Corporate Layoff Announcements (p. 47)
  • Mass Layoff Statistics (MLS) (p. 50)
  • ADP National Employment Report (p. 55)
  • Consumer Spending and Confidence
  • Personal Income and Spending (p. 63)
  • Retail Sales (p. 74)
  • E-Commerce Retail Sales (p. 79)
  • Weekly Chain-Store Sales (p. 82)
  • Consumer Credit Outstanding (p. 87)
  • Consumer Confidence Index (Conference Board) (p. 92)
  • Survey of Consumer Sentiment (University of Michigan) (p. 97)
  • ABC News/Washington Post Consumer Comfort Index (p. 100)
  • UBS/Gallup Index of Investor Optimism (p. 104)
  • National Output and Inventories
  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (p. 107)
  • Durable Goods Orders (p. 124)
  • Factory Orders (p. 131)
  • Business Inventories (p. 138)
  • Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization (p. 145)
  • Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Survey (p. 156)
  • Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Business Survey (p. 163)
  • Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (Business Barometer) (p. 166)
  • Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) (p. 170)
  • Housing and Construction
  • Housing Starts and Building Permits (p. 178)
  • Existing Home Sales (p. 184)
  • New Home Sales (p. 191)
  • Housing Market Index: National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) (p. 196)
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey and the National Delinquency Survey (p. 200)
  • Construction Spending (p. 205)
  • The Federal Reserve
  • Regional Federal Reserve Bank Reports (p. 208)
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (p. 209)
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia: Business Outlook Survey (p. 215)
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City: Manufacturing Survey of the 10th District (p. 219)
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond: Manufacturing Activity for the Fifth District (p. 223)
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago: National Activity Index (CFNAI) (p. 226)
  • The Federal Reserve Board's Beige Book (p. 229)
  • The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Statement (p. 233)
  • Foreign Trade
  • International Trade in Goods and Services (p. 240)
  • Current Account Balance (Summary of International Transactions) (p. 254)
  • Treasury International Capital (TIC) System (p. 262)
  • Prices, Productivity, and Wages
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI) (p. 271)
  • Producer Price Index (PPI) (p. 283)
  • Employment Cost Index (p. 290)
  • Import and Export Prices (p. 296)
  • Productivity and Costs (p. 303)
  • Employer Costs for Employee Compensation (p. 311)
  • Real Earnings (p. 315)
  • Yield Curve (p. 318)
  • Chapter 4. International Economic Indicators: Why Are They So Important? (p. 325)
  • German Industrial Production (p. 328)
  • German IFO Business Survey (p. 330)
  • German Consumer Price Index (CPI) (p. 332)
  • Japan's Tankan Survey (p. 336)
  • Japan Industrial Production (p. 342)
  • Eurozone: Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) (p. 347)
  • Global: Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (p. 347)
  • OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI) (p. 354)
  • China Industrial Production (p. 357)
  • India: GDP and Wholesale Price Index (p. 362)
  • Brazil Industrial Production (p. 368)
  • Chapter 5. Best Web Sites for U.S. Economic Indicators (p. 373)
  • Schedule of Releases (p. 373)
  • Economic News (p. 373)
  • The U.S. Economy (p. 373)
  • Consumer Behavior (p. 374)
  • Employment Conditions (p. 375)
  • Home Sales and Construction Activity (p. 376)
  • International Trade (p. 376)
  • Inflation Pressures (p. 377)
  • Federal Reserve Reports (p. 377)
  • The Federal Budget (p. 378)
  • Interest Rates (p. 378)
  • Money and Credit (p. 378)
  • U.S. Dollar (p. 379)
  • One-Stop Shopping for Economic Statistics (p. 379)
  • Other Useful Economic Sources on the Web (p. 379)
  • Unconventional Economic Indicators (p. 380)
  • Chapter 6. Best Web Sites for International Economic Indicators (p. 381)
  • Calendar of Releases for Foreign Economic Data (p. 381)
  • Sources of Global Economic News (p. 381)
  • Economic Statistics from Other Countries (p. 381)
  • Best Megasites for International Economic Statistics (p. 386)
  • Index (p. 387)
Content provided by Syndetic Solutions, Inc. Terms of Use
Title Summary
"This is the real deal. Baumohl miraculously breathes life into economic indicators and statistics." -- The Wall Street Journal "This is the most up-to-date guide to economic indicators and their importance to financial markets in print. The coverage of less-reported indicators, especially those from nongovernment sources, is hard to find elsewhere. The inclusion of the actual published tables helps the newer student of the markets find the data in the public release. For anyone trying to follow the economic data, this should be next to your computer so that you can understand and find the data on the Internet." --David Wyss, Chief Economist, Standard and Poor's "I find Baumohl's writing fascinating. In addition to the famous indicators, he includes many that I hadn't heard of. I really appreciate that he tells you exactly where to find each indicator on the Web. Just about anyone who's serious about understanding which way the economy is headed will want to read this book. It could be a classic." --Harry Domash, Columnist for MSN Money and Publisher, Winning Investing Newsletter "Bernie Baumohl has accomplished something of real value in The Secrets of Economic Indicators . He has successfully demystified the world of financial and economic news that bombards us in our daily lives. Both professional investors and casual observers of the world of finance and economics will be grateful for what he has done. The constant stream of heretofore bewildering news from the world of business and finance can now be easily understood. Every businessperson or investor should keep a copy of Baumohl's book close at hand as he or she catches up on the business, stock market, and economic events of the day. It is great, at long last, to have someone who has eliminated what may have been so perplexing to so many and to have done so with such remarkable clarity." --Hugh Johnson, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer of Johnson Illington Advisors "Bernie Baumohl has written a must-read educational and reference book that every individual investor will find indispensable for watching, monitoring, and interpreting the markets. The daily flow of high frequency economic indicators is the stuff that makes financial markets move and that can signal the big trends that make or break investor portfolios. Most important, Bernie's long experience in reporting economics for Time Magazine helps make the 'dismal science' lively and interesting." --Allen Sinai, President and Chief Global Economist, Decision Economics, Inc. "Baumohl has a gift for taking a complicated subject and allowing it to read like a fast-moving novel. My confidence in reading and understanding economic indicators as portrayed in this book made me realize the possibilities this information holds for improving my personal net worth as well as navigating my business toward higher profits. I recommend this book if you care about your future finances." --Morris E. Lasky, CEO, Lodging Unlimited, Inc.; Manager and consultant for $6 billion in hotel assets; Chairman, Lodging Conference; Chairman, International Hotel Conference "I think this is an excellent book. It's well written, accessible to a variety of readers, deals with an interesting and important subject, and covers the topic well. It deserves to get a lot of notice and use." --D. Quinn Mills, Alfred J. Weatherhead, Jr., Professor of Business Administration, Harvard Business School "Economic statistics, employment data, Federal Reserve surveys. Think they are boring? Think again! They can drive markets into a frenzy, causing billions of dollars to be made or lost in an instant. Bernie Baumohl brilliantly, clearly, and, yes, entertainingly describes what every investor and business manager should know about economic indicators: which ones move markets, how to interpret them, and how to use them to spot and capitalize on future economic trends. The Secrets of Economic Indicators is an extraordinary and insightful work--an enormously important contribution to the body of financial literature. Read it and then keep it on your desk. Consult it the next time you are deluged with a flurry of economic statistics. Your understanding certainly will be enhanced, and your portfolio will likely be as well." --Robert Hormats, Vice Chairman, Goldman Sachs (International) "If you want to make money investing, this is an essential trend-tracking tool that will help get you to the bank. This book is the real deal. Bernard Baumohl miraculously breathes life into deadly economic indicators and boring statistics . . . he knows what he's talking about, and his expertise proves it." --Gerald Celente, Director, The Trends Research Institute COMPLETELY UPDATED! THE PLAIN-ENGLISH, UP-TO-THE-MINUTE GUIDE TO ECONOMIC INDICATORS: WHAT THEY MEAN, AND HOW TO USE THEM! Every day, investments bounce wildly in response to new economic indicators: statistics that provide crucial clues about the future of the economy and the markets. Now, you can use these indicators to make smarter investment decisions, just like the professionals. You don't need an economics degree, or a CPA--just The Secrets of Economic Indicators, Second Edition! Using up-to-the-minute examples and real-world stories, former TIME Magazine senior economics reporter Bernard Baumohl illuminates every U.S. and foreign indicator that matters right now. You'll learn where to find them, what their track records are, how to interpret them, and how to use that information to make better decisions. Baumohl has thoroughly updated this best-seller with new data, new examples, new indicators, and revised analyses--including a new assessment of the value of yield curves in predicting business cycles. Thousands of investors and business planners swore by the First Edition: these updates make it even more valuable. • New! Today's 10 most crucial leading indicators Better ways to predict economic turning points in time to profit • Get ahead of the curve with the latest U.S. indicators New insights into U.S. employment, monetary policy, inflation, capital flows, and more • Emerging foreign indicators you need to track From China to India, Europe to Brazil...and beyond • Making sense of indicators in conflict What to do when the numbers disagree • Finding the data Free Web resources fo
Content provided by Syndetic Solutions, Inc. Terms of Use

Contact Us919-660-5870
(Perkins Circulation Desk)